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逆流而上!盈利突出 最高大賺33%!這類基金賺翻了
uSMART盈立智投 03-30 16:30

總結:今年由於受全球疫情,通貨膨脹,俄烏戰爭的影響,全球股市和債劵一直表現不夠理想,但是同時也導致了大宗商品的價格飆升。

標普高盛商品指數(S&P GSCI) 一直是全球最受推崇的可投資大宗商品指數,今年受大宗商品漲價影響,短短3個月時間大漲33%。對比之下,美國最著名的標普500指數就較爲尷尬,從去年年底最高的4818點一路震盪下跌,最終調整至3月中旬最低4114點,只有近期纔出現強勢反彈。彭博巴克萊綜合債券指數(Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index)的表現就更不如人意了,截止至今下跌6.5%。

通常,商品期貨溢價的滾轉成本會侵蝕收益,導致投資表現偏離現貨指數的表現,但是今年的標普高盛商品指數(S&P GSCI)的表現出乎意料。大衆對供應的擔憂已導致許多商品期貨曲線轉向現貨溢價,暫時消除了對滾動成本的擔憂。iShares S&P GSCI大宗商品指數信託(GSG)今年迄今上漲了34.2%,其回報率甚至略高於現貨價格。

衆所周知,由於俄羅斯和烏克蘭戰爭引發的原油供應擔憂,導致今年能源價格大幅上漲。

Global X FTSE哥倫比亞20指數基金(GXG)今年出色的表現很大程度上是因爲其持有19%的石油和天然氣等能源大宗商品的投資。同樣,當我們看今年迄今爲止表現最好的大宗商品ETF時,許多表現最好的都是能源ETF。包括美國布倫特石油基金(BNO),上漲58.5%;美國天然氣基金(United States Natural Gas Fund)上漲56%;美國汽油基金(UGA)增長47.6%。

這場衝突的影響不僅體現在能源市場上,還體現在大宗商品市場上。

大量商品從俄羅斯或烏克蘭出口,包括小麥、玉米、鎳、鈀等。這讓iPath Series B Bloomberg Nickel Subindex Total Return ETN (JJN)和Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT)今年分別上漲了72.8%和43.6%。

除了大宗商品相關的ETF,另外幾家規模更大的大宗商品ETP也躋身大宗商品業績前20名。

比如追蹤能源大宗商品的Elements Rogers國際商品指數-能源TR ETN (RJN)今年迄今上漲了60.2%,還有追蹤生產加權全球大宗商品的iPath標準普爾GSCI總回報指數(GSP)上漲了50.6%。

隨着俄烏戰爭產生的地緣政治有所緩和,大宗商品市場價格可能會趨近穩定,迴歸基本面主導行情,但是也沒人能肯定大宗商品價格能否在年底前回歸正常表現。

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