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郭思治:大市雖已重越20,000點 但表現仍見反覆
阿思達克 04-14 09:04
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市已開始步入4月份之中旬,而直到執筆一刻止計,本月大市在先高後低之形態主導下,恆指暫是由1日之高位23,456點跌至9日之低位19,260點,即在短短6個交易日內,累積之跌幅已達4,196點,由於跌勢確頗偏促,加上技術上亦呈超賣,故只要沽壓略為收斂,而買盤態度亦稍見積極,大市已可作較明顯之反彈,其後在美股大幅回升刺激下,大市亦於10日一度反彈至21,211點,即恆指大幅回升1,951點,而更於10日早市一度輕越100天線(現約在21,190點左近),但由於美國總統特朗普對中國仍在上調對等關稅,即事態仍處不明之中,故高台買盤之態度亦漸趨審慎,而大市亦再回復反覆不明之走勢,但有一點可見到,恆指仍能穩企於20,000點之上,即大市之走勢雖反覆偏軟,但表現尚不算太差。 再看移動線方面之表現,直到執筆一刻止計,各組平均移動線之排列由上而下為20天線(約在22,873點左近),50天線(約在22,692點左近),10天線(約在21,762點左近),100天線(約在21,190點左近)及250天線(約在19,538點左近),單從技術上看,在大市持續反覆急跌之下,10天線已相繼跌穿20天線及50天線,即移動線方面之表現已明顯轉趨反覆,加上恆指目前已跌穿20天線,50天線,10天線及100天線,即表示整個大市仍續處反覆欲試底之弱態中,而從小圖上看,目前較關鍵之支持該為20,000點大關,一旦此防線有失,則其時250天線之支持亦會再度受考驗。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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