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郭思治:大市在動力配合下續創月內新高
阿思達克 02-11 09:09
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市承接上週五(7日)之升勢,昨日(10日)早上再進一步創月內之新高,恆指昨早市先高開90點至21,223點,其後在買盤支持下再進一步升至21,539點方漸受規限,相對本月之低位爲3日之19,764點計,即月內之波幅已再擴闊至1,775點,單論波幅該已不算小,且周來大市之升勢亦頗爲偏促,但由於一個月之高低位是很少同時出現於六個交易日之內,故只要先低後高之形態不變,而大市之交投亦能保持暢旺,在動力配合下,大市或仍會再進一步往上尋月內之新高,恆指最後報收21,521點,較上日升388點,全日總成交金額爲2,424億元。 再看移動線方面之表現,目前各組平均移動線之排列由上而下爲10天線(約在20,534點左近),20天線(約在19,997點左近),100天線(約在19,959點左近),50天線(約在19,863點左近)及250天線(約在18,402點左近),從走勢上看,由於20天線已重越100天線,即移動線再亮另一個黃金交叉,估計50天線稍後亦會重越10天線,只要大市之動力配合,技術上該有利於短期後市之發展,但周來大市已累積不少升幅,需慎防高臺會出現回吐壓力。 另外,目前大市在AI概念主導下,相關股份在投機性炒作下已升不少,故任何再冒高追入之短炒行動,最好是先做妥一切風險管理,因一旦出現回吐,相關股份之回調壓力當不會小,值得留意的是,大市之交投一旦萎縮,即表示續尋頂之趨勢已開始受規限。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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