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郭思治:昨日大市再見反覆並曾跌近10天線
阿思達克 12-06 09:10
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治分析指,大市昨又再略見反覆,恆指昨早市先低開164點至19,578點,其後曾略爲後抽至19,642點,但由於買盤不足,加上零碎沽壓亦不斷滲着涌現,故整個大市卒逐漸反覆回落至19,466點方漸見喘定,即此刻恆指己曾急回276點,並且己跌近10天線(約在19,452點左近),惟幸沽壓漸消,故大市得以回穩於10天線之上,其後大市一直拉據於上述波幅之內,由於去向不明,故好淡雙方均續抱觀望,因而交投亦持續偏疏,恆指最後報收19,560點,較上日跌182點,全日總成交金額只得1,093億元。 再看移動線方面之走勢,目前各組平均移動線之排列由上而下爲50天線(約在20,355點左近),20天線(約在19,638點左近),10天線(約在19,452點左近),100天線(約在18,907點左近)及250天線(約在17,800點左近),從目前大市之表現看,由於恆指己重越10天線多天,且更曾一度輕越20天線,該表示大市己初呈回穩之訊號,只是在買盤不足之下,暫欠動力作進一步之突破,但從技術上看,只要恆指仍能繼續穩守於10天線之上,情況當不算太差,前文己說,如恆指能與10天線糾纏在一起,即不用擔心大市會下試11月26日之低位19,054點。 目前市場正等待美國聯儲局在12月份議息後,會否再進一步減息0.25釐,另外,內地在經濟會議後,中央政府會否再推出刺激經濟之政策,可能,12月份之傳統粉飾廚窗活動,亦需待上述兩個事件明朗後才作部署。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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