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郭思治:大市在去向不明下交投漸見萎縮
阿思達克 03-13 09:05
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(12日)持續反覆於10天線附近,恆指早市先輕微高開77點至23,859點,其後曾再稍升至23,962點方漸受規限,由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又漸見涌現,故整個大市卒開始反覆回落,而恆指亦一度稍回至23,363點方見喘定,從技術上看,大市走勢不但仍持續反覆,且恆指亦正欲下試10天線(約在23,597點左近)之支持,值得留意,10天線一旦正式失守,該表示大市已漸擺脫不斷尋頂之趨勢,而在零碎沽壓再現下,整個大市會漸進入反覆不明且帶軟之弱態中,恆指最後報收23,600點,較上日跌181點,全日總成交金額爲2,784億元。 拉闊小小看,此潮中期升浪是始自今年1月13日之低位18671點,至3月7日之高位24,669點止計,在短短八週內,累積之升幅已有達5,998點,論升幅確實不算小,故一旦動力不繼,定必引來伺高回吐之獲利沽盤,假如大市需回調升幅5,998點之31.8%,則恆指可能會回試22,762點之支持,即是說,恆指會先跌穿10天線及20天線,繼而再下試23,000點之支持,而經過逾八週之中期上升後,大市或需稍作消化及整固,故任何投機性之短炒行動均不宜過急及過勇,同時亦需做好一切風險管理。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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