郭思治:大市持續處中期急升後之整固中
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市已身處3月份之中旬,雖周來之市勢頗爲反覆,惟直到執筆一刻止計,3月大市之形態仍暫屬先低而後高,恆指暫是由4日之低位22,547點升至7日之高位24,669點,即在短短4個交易日內,累積之升幅已達2,122點,論升勢確頗偏促,故一旦買盤不繼,定必招來伺高回吐之沽盤,而市勢亦會漸陷反覆不明之中,但需指出,即使大市再略見反覆,該只屬中期大幅急升後之正常回吐及消化而已,畢竟大市自今年1月13日低位18,671點開始之中期升浪,至3月7日高位24,669點止計,在短短八週內,恆指已急升達5,998點,論升幅當已不算小,且升勢亦頗偏促,故在動力萎縮下,大市稍作回吐及消化乃正常現象,但有一點需留意,一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於四個交易日之內,故在本月底前,技術上或會有更大之波幅點出現,從而拉闊月內高低位之距離以符合慣性之要求。
上文提及,本月恆指是由4日之低位22,547點升至7日之高位24,669點,即月內之波幅是上升2,122點,而此波幅之中位數爲23,608點,從周來大市之走勢看,目前大市正持續整固於23,608點左近,屬待變之格局,至於短期後市會試頂或試底,當需視乎資金之入市態度而定,但從技術上看,首先該關注恆指能否持續穩守於10天線(約在23,673點左近)及20天線(約在23,407點左近)之上,因只要大市能穩守於上述兩組平均移動線之上,技術上該有利於短期後市候機試頂,反之,如大市正式跌穿上述兩組平均移動線,則後續之市勢將進一步反覆。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.