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郭思治:大市已稍重越20,000點大關
阿思達克 12-27 09:56
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,今天(27日)是即月期指轉倉高峯日,大市經過上日之一輪急升後,技術上已稍見突破。首先,恆指繼成功重越20天線(約在19,846點左近)之後,再進一步升越10天線(約在19,934點左近)及50天線(約在20,045點左近)。單從走勢上看,大市不但已初步擺脫反覆不明之弱態,且開始呈現回穩向上之趨勢。恆指週二早市先輕微高開28點至19,911點,其後曾略爲拉鋸至19,908點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤開始滲着涌現,故整個大市卒開始穩步上升至20,165點方漸受規限。其後大市一直處拉鋸之中,半日市恆指最後報收20,098點,較上日升215點,半日市之成交金額爲845億元。 大市已接近12月份之尾聲,今天是即月期指轉倉高峯日,下週一(30日)則是即月期指結算日,而下週二(31日)是即月場外衍生工具結算日,同時亦是年結日,由於是除夕,故只得半日市。照目前大市之表現看,本月期指該可望在20,000點之上進行轉倉及結算。由於年結已近,在基金之粉飾廚窗活動主導下,大市可能會再進一步推上。而從小圖上看,大市既已重越各組平均移動線,技術上看該有利於上試本月3日之高位21,070點及11月8日之高位21,355點。當然,成交金額能否配合將至爲關鍵,因大市之動力如不相配,升勢必漸受規限。 再看,大市如能續穩守於20,000點大關之上過渡至明年一月份,技術上該有利於明年一月上旬之發展。而直到目前一刻止計,一衆傳統藍籌股之表現仍優於大市,同時亦爲是潮大市上升之領航股,至於新經濟股之表現則仍稍見反覆。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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