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《即日市評》美聯儲「放鴿」恆指向上 美團揚 舜宇捱沽
美聯儲局隔晚(20日)維持指標利率目標範圍不變,「放鴿」重申今年減息三次的預期指引,港股今日(21日)隨外圍上升。美聯儲局主席鮑威爾指今年某個時候開始放鬆貨幣政策是合適,美股道指及納指隔晚各升1%及1.3%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.233釐,美匯指數升至103.64,道指期貨最新升127點或0.32%,納指期貨最新升0.8%。上證綜指全日跌2點或0.08%收3,077點,深證成指跌0.36%,而滬深兩市成交額共近1.07萬億元人民幣。 恆指高開219點後升幅擴大,曾升430點高見16,973點,全日升320點或1.9%,收16,863點;國指升101點或1.8%,收5,905點;恆生科技指數升31點或0.9%,收3,582點。大市全日成交總額1,180.51億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨入29.65億及39.06億元人民幣。中移動(00941.HK)公佈去年業績前,全日升1.2%收66.85元。 【中移動偏好 美團有支持】 騰訊(00700.HK)計劃股份回購規模至少翻倍,全日股價升0.8%。快手(01024.HK)去年第四季經調整淨利潤勝預期,股價全日跌1.9%。摩根士丹利發表報告,預計首季是騰訊在國內遊戲業務增長的低谷,於第二季推出的《DNF手遊》(地下城與勇士)將成爲轉捩點及催化劑。而可持續的毛利率擴張和股東回報提高是業績主要亮點。該行將騰訊目標價由430元下調至400元,保持「增持」評級。同時將今明兩年的收入預測下調2至4%,非國際財務報告準則淨利潤預期下調4至5%,但仍高於市場預測。 科技股方面,美團-W(03690.HK)明日(22日)公佈業績,股價抽高3.9%。雖然本地生活業務受消費環境影響而承壓,但2022年同期因疫情影基數較低,本網綜合10間券商預測,美團2023年第四季非國際財務報告準則經調整溢利料介乎19.5億至39.07億元人民幣,較2022年第四季8.29億元人民幣,按年上升1.35倍至3.71倍,中位數29.54億元人民幣,按年增加2.56倍。綜合5間券商預測,美團2023年第四季溢利料介乎4,400萬至16.2億元人民幣,中位數10.47億元人民幣,對比2022年第四季虧損10.84億元人民幣。 【升股千一隻 舜宇有沽壓】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲27比16(上日爲21比19),上升1,120只(升幅近3%),恆指成份股今日74只股份上升,8只股份下跌,升跌比率爲90比10(上日爲50比43);大市今日錄沽空237.82億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1.068.03億元的22.267%(上日爲23.884%)。 舜宇(02382.HK)全日股價挫13.2%收46.85元。高盛發表報告指,雖然舜宇收入和出貨量按季均恢復至正增長,但去年下半年毛利率降至14.1%遜預期,低於2023年上半年的14.9%,反映手機鏡頭和相機模組市場的激烈競爭。該行指,舜宇去年下半年淨利潤爲6.63億元人民幣,比指引中值低6%,比該行和市場預測各低6%和18%。舜宇管理層認爲,手機鏡頭和相機模組的定價壓力來自於競爭和智能手機相機規格的下調,維持對該股「中性」評級。目標價69元。
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