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英偉達“一支穿雲箭”,印度也加入全球股市狂歡
格隆匯 02-23 15:20

AI盛宴之下,英偉達“一支穿雲箭”響徹天際,全球股市開始觥籌交錯、歡呼雀躍。

隨着美股、歐股、日股、台股紛紛創下歷史新高,印度也加入這輪全球股市狂歡了。

週五,在金融股和信息技術股的推動下,印度藍籌股指數Nifty 50連續第五個交易日創下歷史新高,為“英偉達效應”引爆的全球科技股上升再添一把火。

截至發稿,Nifty 50指數上升 0.77%,至 22240點,Sensex 指數上升0.18%,至 73292點。

本週前四個交易日中,Nifty 50指數都創下了歷史新高,累計上升超0.8%;Sensex指數今年1月首次突破了73000點大關,本週迄今上升超1%,距離歷史高點還差約300點。

週四,印度發佈的一項商業調查顯示, 2 月份商業活動因需求強勁而加速至七個月高點。

標準普爾全球編制的匯豐銀行印度綜合採購經理人指數(PMI)初值從從1月份終值61.2升至本月的61.5,連續第31個月位於50的榮枯線之上。

2月份製造業PMI初值從上月的56.5升至56.7,為9月份以來最高,服務業PMI初值從1月份的61.8升至7個月高位62.0。

Renaissance Investment Managers 董事兼首席投資官 Pankaj Muraka 表示,由於經濟的潛在實力、商業活動的加速、企業盈利能力強勁以及國內資金持續流入,印度股市將繼續表現良好。

去年,隨着外國投資者的湧入,印度股市創下了八年連升紀錄。

彭博的數據顯示,在 2023 年最後三個月,購買印度股票的主要美國 ETF 吸引了創紀錄的投資者流入。

路透分析師稱,儘管估值已經很高,但印度股市將在6月底飆升至新高,並在2024年上升近9%,並且未來三個月將出現調整不太可能。

Axis Securities 量化股票研究主管Neeraj Chadawar 表示:

“與其他新興市場相比,印度經濟仍然是‘表現出色’的經濟體。此外,我們堅信印度可能會在 2024 年繼續保持增長勢頭,並在全球經濟動盪的背景下保持穩定。”

傑富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析師週四在一份報吿中預測,由於印度經濟的蓬勃發展和持續的改革,印度股市到 2030 年有望翻一番,飆升至10萬億美元。

目前,價值4.3萬億美元的印度是世界第五大股票市場過去20年來,印度股市的年回報率一直保持在10%。

分析師表示,即使在取得了驚人的股票回報之後,該國股市的投資者仍可預期未來五到七年的回報率為8%-10%。 

“假設市場回報率與過去 15-20 年的歷史和新上市公司的情況一致,印度到 2030 年將成為近10萬億美元的市場——全球大型投資者不可能忽視。” 

報吿還指出,過去十年,印度GDP年複合增長率為7%。未來 4 年,印度的GDP可能會達到5萬億美元,到2027年將成為第三大經濟體,超過日本和德國,成為增長最快的大型經濟體。

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