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穩健醫療(300888)半年報點評:Q2醫療業務高速增長 併購規劃順利推進
格隆匯 08-18 00:00
公司公告:2022Q2 收入+58%/業績+91%。據公司公告,1)2022H1:收入增長27%至51.6 億元/業績增長17%至8.9 億元。毛利率同比-3.9PCTs 至48.8%,主要系: ①2021Q1 醫療產品單價高帶來業績高基數。②上半年棉紗等原材料成本有上升。銷售/管理費用率同比分別-1.9/-1.3PCTs 至18.4%/6.3%,淨利率-1.3PCTs 至17.4%。2)2022 單Q2:收入/業績分別爲28.4/5.4 億元,同比增長58%/91%(剔除收購隆泰醫療收入,Q2 收入同增53%)。業務快速增長主要系國內疫情反覆催生防疫產品需求增長。單Q2 毛利率-0.5PCTs 至49.7%/淨利率+3.4PCTs 至19%。 醫療業務:Q2 銷售增長1.3 倍,計劃收購完善品類矩陣。醫用耗材業務2022H1 銷售收入32.3 億元,同增45.3%,毛利率同比下降5.2PCTs 至46.3%;其中單Q2 銷售18.3 億元,同增130.1%(剔除隆泰醫療併購業務後,Q2 醫療業務銷售+119%)。1)分渠道來看:公司把握渠道滲透機遇,強化“winner”品牌建設,截至目前覆蓋國內近14 萬家藥店、4000+家醫院,上半年國內疫情下政府及事業單位採購增加,2022H1國內醫院/國內直銷銷售分別高速增長167%/281%,國內藥店/電子商務銷售分別穩健增長18%/31%,海外銷售同比下降30%,主要系因疫情政策放開及基數較高等原因。 2)分產品來看:3 月以來國內疫情反覆,催生國內防疫產品需求高速增長。2022H1醫療業務中疾控防護產品高速增長54%、高端敷料增長超2.6 倍(剔除隆泰醫療併購業務,增長113%)、傳統傷口護理產品增長27.5%。3)4 月以來公司陸續公告收購計劃,包括收購隆泰醫療55%股權(已並表)、收購湖南平安醫械控股權並增資、收購桂林乳膠100%股權,形成產品、渠道、品牌層面的雙向互補與協同作用,打造一站式醫用耗材平臺。 消費品業務:表現穩健,自有平臺發力。消費品業務2022H1 銷售收入18.8 億元,同增5.1%,毛利率同比-0.9PCTs 至53.3%;其中單Q2 銷售9.9 億元,同增2%。1)分渠道來看,2022H1:①線下:商超渠道高速增長35%,門店/大客戶銷售同比分別增長4.8%/1.7%,表現穩健。②電商持平略增2.4%,其中自有平臺業務銷售穩健增長10%。據公司公告,截至2022H1,全棉時代用戶數量已達4000 萬人,其中私域平臺會員數量超1900 萬人。2)分產品來看,2022H1 嬰童服飾、成人服飾等有紡產品仍然保持穩健增長。未來隨着全棉時代產品品類深化創新、渠道發展持續優化,我們預計全年業務銷售穩健發展、自有平臺佔比有望提升。 全年業務有望穩健增長。1)營運:2022H1 末存貨同比+43%至18.1 億元,其中醫用業務/消費品存貨週轉天數分別-14/+43 天至70/235 天。2)現金流:2022H1 經營性現金流量淨額8 億元,較去年同期上漲3 倍,主要系: ①2021H1 公司防護產品信用政策恢復正常。②2021H1 彙算清繳後支付的各項稅費較多。3)展望全年,我們預計全年醫療業務國內市場需求較好,全棉時代表現有望維持穩健,考慮併購業務推進進度情況,綜合來看我們預計公司全年收入有望增長30%左右。 投資建議。我們看好中長期公司醫療、消費協同發展的潛力,考慮併購業務進度情況,我們調整盈利預測,預計2022~2024 年歸母淨利潤分別15.4/19.2/22.3 億元,對應2022 年PE 爲20 倍,維持“買入”評級。 風險提示:新冠疫情超預期不利消費品終端銷售;市場競爭加劇風險;品類擴張風險;海外業務拓展不及預期;外匯波動風險。
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