華爾街再迎美國“通脹劫” ,港股衝高回落物業持續低迷
Jaco 袁永傑/uSMART投資顧問總監畢業於諾桑比亞大學,主修國際商業管理擁有10年港股、美股研究及操作經驗,擅長利用各種分析方式和宏觀經濟環境分析對股票及市場作出預測
01
美國總統拜登本週出訪沙地阿拉伯,加拿大皇家銀行相信沙地將引導油組及盟友(OPEC+),延長增產行動至今年12月,沙地和阿聯酋料同意增加供應,填補其他OPEC+成員產量未達標的缺口,令油價短暫回落,現在市場聚焦本星期將公佈的通脹數據,投資者避險情緒升溫下先行沽貨,令到美股三大指數再輕微下跌,道指收跌192點,報30971點;標指跌0.92%,報3818點;以科技股爲主的納指跌0.95%,報11264點。總括而言,美股長期趨勢仍然向下,但由於過度超賣及在橫行區,相信納線10500點有支持,本星期的通脹數據將會左右美股短期的走勢,中線而言就要看美國企業第二季業績和未來展望是怎樣。
02
中國6月進出口總值5645.9億美元,按年增長10.3%;其中出口增長17.9%,優於市場預期升12.5%;進口增長1%,低於預期的升4%。6月貿易順差979.4億美元,但內房股持續急跌,令今天港股好淡爭持,恆指報20797,跌46點,總成交爲1083億,今天有45%的股票上升。總括而言,港股短線於22500點有一定阻力,短線支持位在20500,相信港股短線仍是波幅上落。
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