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郭思治: 本月形态未明 惟形势则稍偏淡
阿思达克 05-05 09:24
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市经过连续两天急跌後,昨(4日)出现技术性反弹,恒指早市先高开81点至28,438点,其後曾稍反覆而回至28,321点,惟在好友反击下止跌回升,只是碍於买盘力薄,故大市升至28577点已渐受规限,其後大市亦一直在上述框架内拉锯至尾,恒指最後报收28,557点,较上日升199点,全日总成交金额则进一步减缩至908亿元,从技术上看,以恒指昨日报收在28,557点计,相距100天线(28,566点)仅差9点,即只要大市再稍作後抽,恒指该可伺机重越100天线,可以说的是,只要恒指能重越100天线并稳守其上,大市该可渐摆脱反覆续试底之弱态。

稍拉阔点看,月来恒指先由4月12日之低位28,274点升至4月29日之高位29,405点,其後在沽压涌现下急跌至5月3日之低位28,256点,即是说,4月12日之低位28,274点与5月3日之低位28,256点,技术上有可能成跨月份之小双底,但要确认此点,至少需待恒指成功重越100天线(28,566点)及20天线(28,830点)之後,方能初获确认,但照目前之市势看,由於买盘薄弱,故只要沽压再稍作主动,恒指该有可能先往下寻月内新低。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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