贸发局料出口信心全面复苏最快要到明年 个别行业或现裁员压力
贸发局研究总监关家明出席记者会时表示,今年首季香港出口指数为39.0,按季升2.8点,虽连升四季但仍处於50以下的收缩领域,反映港商对近期出口前景审慎乐观。他指出,出口行业现时每季信心均有所上升,但仍与正常水平有一段距离,纵使个别行业已回复或接近疫情前水平,但全面复苏最快仍要到明年。
他续指,虽然疫苗开始接种,不过推出过程较仓猝,大众对疫苗信心或有不同反应,印象中有海外专家分析指,疫情发展依赖民众与政府协力,如两者未能合作,疫情处理相对困难,他认为香港亦要汲取教训,参考当年沙士的例子虽然疫情时间较短但恢复力度较强,而今次面对的困难则较多,至於疫情会否令复苏反覆则仍要视乎全球情况。
他指出,现时厂商除了面对接单困难问题外,亦要面对成本问题,个别行业或现裁员压力,但出口界就业情况相对较好,估计出口、制造业界对本港失业率影响不大,不过假如其他行业面对压力较大,或现裁员情况。
他续指现时物流困难仍然持续,主要因为欧美部分码头未完全恢复营运并出现货柜积压等的情况,估计随着当地疫苗接种、疫情缓和,料物流压力可获纾缓。
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