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腾讯大涨5%再创新高!美国封杀微信叒失败!
格隆汇 10-27 12:58

今日,腾讯盘中一度涨近5%,达到588.5港元,市值达到5.6万亿港元,再创历史新高。截至午间休市,腾讯涨幅回落至3.29%,报580港元/股。 

年初至今,腾讯控股已累涨近55%。而自3月最低的322.5港元股价至今的7个月中,腾讯的市值已飙涨超过2万4千亿港元。 

 

消息面上,此前多次反转的美国“微信禁令”,在昨天取得了新的进展 - 美国第九巡回法庭再次驳回了美国司法部提交的动议。 

 

 

9月19日,加州北区联邦法官下达初步禁令,阻止商务部实施特朗普政府下达的“在美国的苹果和谷歌应用商店下架微信”的命令,而后,美国司法部提出动议,要求法官撤回这项禁令。 

10月23日,加州北区联邦法官驳回了司法部动议,维持了阻止商务部封杀微信的禁令。 

而就在昨天,联邦第九巡回上诉法院也驳回了美国司法部的动议,决定维持联邦地区法官比勒的初步禁令。三位法官一致认为,在美国政府上诉期间,美国国家安全不会受到无法弥补的损失。 

至此,特朗普政府已在封杀微信的“战役”中3次失利。不过,特朗普政府仍有向美国最高法庭提起上诉的权利,要求美国最高法院的九位大法官允许商务部对微信采取封杀措施。届时美国最高法院会如何判罚微信封杀令案件,将成为一个重要看点。 

就在今天,美国参议院投票确认了由特朗普政府提名的保守派女大法官巴雷特(Amy Barrette)。她的加入将使保守派在九位大法官中实现6对3的绝对优势。 

另一方面,由于蚂蚁金服IPO的发行市值或超过3000亿美元(约合2万亿元),引发了对腾讯是否被大幅低估的讨论。 

在国内市场上,支付宝由于进场更早而且背靠电商平台,用户数量和交易体量都比腾讯金融科技更有优势。不过在线下支付市场上,二者可以说是平分秋色。 

根据2020年中报,腾讯的金融科技及企业服务2019/20年占总营收的比例都在25%,而2020年上半年,金融科技及企业服务营收同比增长了26%至563.37亿元。 

不过,收入成本的增长一直是腾讯金融服务面临的问题,今年第二季度,金融服务的收入成本同比增长了22%至212.22亿元。 腾讯方面表示,成本的上升是由于支付活动的增加,以及云业务规模扩大使得服务器与频宽成本都在上升。 

除支付服务外,腾讯云服务也在金融领域 ,据国际研究机构Gartner发布的2019年企业公有云服务市场份额报告,腾讯在IaaS市场排名全球第五。同时,在全球前五的云计算厂商中,腾讯云的市场份额增速连续两年保持在第一位。 

腾讯云计算服务目前在电商平台获得了广泛的应用。今年“618大促”期间,电商平台使用的腾讯云计算资源相比去年增长了一倍。而由于直播带货的火爆,大促带来的6月整个行业直播卖货的带宽是1月份的5倍 

国信证券股联网分析师称,如果给予2020年相同的估值倍数,腾讯金融科技的合理估值应该在1.3万亿元。 

而瑞银发表研究报告称,潜在多个重磅手机游戏推出、在金融科技领域的吸引力、美国相关的风险稳定或减轻,以及蚂蚁集团上市,都将是腾讯增长的催化剂,料腾讯未来几个季度的股价表现将继续改善。 

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