传媒行业8月行业动态报告:大厂重磅手游即将上线,看好优质影片市场,维持“推荐”评级
机构:银河证券
评级:推荐
最新观点
1.《八佰》点映票房破纪录,看好优质影片市场。根据猫眼数据,截止 8 月 30 日,全国已有 9453 家影院复工,复工率达到 83.31%。《八佰》点映票房创造中国电影市场点映票房最高纪录,上映十天取得高达 17.94 亿票房的好成绩,为市场提振信心。后续重量级新片《姜子牙》《一点就到家》《我和我的家乡》《夺冠》接连定档十一,预计“国庆档”将迎来复工以后的小爆发。由于疫情原因同档期竞品数量大幅下降,新片上映数量低于往年同期,具有优质作品储备的影视内容公司业绩有望率先企稳。疫情期间多数小型连锁影院倒闭,行业加速出清,企业集中度的稳步提升将提高市场内现有公司的收益表现。
2.第二批进口游戏版号下发,多款大厂重磅手游即将上线。8 月 6 日,国家新闻出版广电总局官网继今年 3 月份之后发布了第二批进口游戏版号信息,共计新发 28 款进口游戏版号,多家大厂均有重磅手游上线,如腾讯控股的《使命召唤手游》、网易的《全面战争:竞技场》《哈利波特:魔法觉醒》,字节跳动独代中手游《航海王热血航线》等。《2020 年 1 至 6 月中国游戏产业报告》显示,今年上半年游戏市场实际销售收入 1394.93 亿元,其中移动游戏实际销售收入占 75.04%。我们认为下半年游戏市场收入的增长动力依然来自移动游戏端,看好游戏大厂及运营商内容平台的业绩表现。
投资建议
看好复工复产后的文娱消费增长以及 5G 产业升级带来的整体性行业机会。建议关注 5G 业务发展领先,具有先发优势的华数传媒(000156.SZ)、东方明珠(600637.SH)、贵广网络(600996.SH);自主研发能力较强且对游戏内容把握经验丰富的游戏大厂完美世界(002624.SZ)、三七互娱(002555.SZ)、中文传媒(600373.SH)、渠道龙头顺网科技(300113.SZ);内容储备丰富和内容质量较高的影视龙头公司光线传媒(300251.SZ)、慈文传媒(002343.SZ)、华策影视(300133.SZ)及全产业链布局的中国电影(600977.SH)、万达电影(002739.SZ);在线视频行业爱奇艺(IQ.O)、芒果超媒(300413.SZ)、哔哩哔哩(BILI.O);在线阅读 IP 储备丰富,市占率较高的阅文集团(0772.HK)、掌阅科技(603533.SH)等。
风险提示
行业政策趋严的风险,作品收入不及预期的风险,行业竞争加剧的风险等。

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