郭思治: 本月在先低後高之形态下 暂会先上寻高位
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,自踏进6月份後,大市已连升两天,继前天(1日)大幅上升771点至23,732点後,昨天再进一步上升263点至23,995点。单从走势上看,由於恒指现已成功重越10天线(23,507点)、50天线(23,721点)及20天线(23,802点),表示大市不但已渐摆脱续寻底之弱态,且形势上该有利於进一步抽升。从技术上看,只要买盘不退,6月上旬之市势该可在先低後高之形态主导下先往上寻高位。
此潮反弹是始自5月25日之低位22,519点。以昨天恒指报收於23,995点计,技术上确已呈渐升离之感。虽暂不预期大市会发展成一升浪,但至少有利於短期後市之发展。需留意的是,本周一之急升,技术上遗留下一大型上升裂口,介乎23,089点至23,539点,阔450点。此上升裂口出现在6月首个交易日,情况确不太理想,因一日恒指仍未能回补此上升裂口之前,技术上始终是短期後市之隐忧。
本月大市暂时已初呈先低後高之形态。恒指暂是由1日之低位23,539点升至2日之高位23,995点,惟一个月之高低位是不会同时出现於两个交易日内,加上456点之波幅亦不可能满足月内所需,故在本月余下之交易日,定有更大波幅点出现。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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