郭思治: 连升三天後 大市或需稍作消化
帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,大市自上周四(10日)低位25,521点开始之反弹,至昨天(14日)之高位26,636点止计,在短短三个交易日内,累积之升幅已达1,115点,论步伐确有点稍偏速,故市势该会略作消化及整固,但即使大市稍见反覆,惟只要恒指不跌穿20天线(26,278点),即表示整个反弹仍未完,且形态上亦有利於再候机上试100天线(27,069点),甚至挑战250天线(27,304点)。
经过连升三天後,本月大市之形态现已扭转成先低而後高,恒指暂是由10日之低位25,521点升至14日之高位26,636点,即月内之波幅已稍扩阔至1,115点,惟一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於三个交易日之内,加上1,115点之波幅似仍较细,故在本月余下之交易日,技术上该有更大之波幅点出现,以低位在10日出现计,如先低後高之形态不变,高位或会在25日左右才出现。
值得留意的是,9月大市之反弹是缺乏动力作配合,惟近日大市之反弹,成交金额颇见炽烈,即动力方面确有所改善。
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