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郭思治:大市反覆中開始跌穿10天線
阿思達克 05-27 12:11
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,昨天(26日)大市持續略見反覆,而恆指亦於早市再一度稍跌穿10天線,恆指昨早市先低開95點至23,505點,其後再進一步跌至23,234點方漸見喘定,即其時恆指已再度稍跌穿10天線(約在23,482點左近),此已是恆指於周來第三度於日中稍跌穿10天線,第一次是5月19日,恆指於日中曾一度低見23,059點,其時10天線是位於23,143點左近,第二次是5月23日,恆指於日中曾低見23,487點,而其時10天線是位於23,508點左近,而昨天是周來第三次,單從走勢上看,大市在動力萎縮下,表現已漸趨反覆,擔心情況如持續,大市之反覆或會進一步明顯,恆指最後報收23,282點,較上日跌318點,全日總成交金額爲2,235億元。 受到大市於月來之大幅反彈所拉動,目前各組平均移動線之排列由上而下爲10天線(約在23,482點左近),20天線(約在22,997點左近),50天線(約在22,783點左近),100天線(約在21,980點左近)及250天線(約在20,084點左近),單從技術上看,各組移動線之排列已回覆標準之升市模式,但由於交投持續偏疏,在動力不配之下,大市一直欠缺欲上衝之動力,期間只要回吐沽壓略作主動,大市已可進入反覆不明之中,單從技術上看,恆指一旦正式跌穿10天線,其時另一個技術支持已退守至20天線左近,故持貨偏重之投資者最好做妥個人之風險管理,另外,任何投機性之短炒行動亦不宜過急及過勇。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人士)~
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