郭思治:大市昨曾進一步輕越20天線
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨日(23日)再進一步明顯反彈,恆指昨早市先大幅高開518點至22,080點,其後曾略爲拉鋸至21,862點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤開始滲着涌現,故大市卒再進一步上升至22,138點方漸受規限,即其時恆指已稍輕越20天線(約在22,045點左近),單從技術上看,大市不但已進一步呈回穩之訊號,且整個反彈之趨勢亦在延續中,論形態該有利於後市再候機上試50天線(約在22,795點左近),當然,成交金額能否配合至爲重要,恆指最後報收22,072點,較上日升510點,全日總成交金額爲2,606億元。
再從走勢上看,大市已再進一步回補本月7日所遺留下之大型下降裂口,但仍有一段介乎22,638點至22,138點之下降裂口仍有待回補,嚴格而言,當大市能完全回補此下降裂口,該表示特朗普所提出對等關稅之事項,或已經開始趨向緩和,並可能表示中美雙方將可能會通過談判去解決問題,由於事件到最後並不會有贏家,反之,雙方均會成輸家,故筆者一直認爲一場雙輸之遊戲不可能持續太久,到最後仍需通過談判去解決問題,而當事件過去後,基金可能會再度重新部署,而大市亦可望候機再重展新一輪之中期升浪,而首箇中期上望目標該爲3月19日之高位24,784點。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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