《即日市評》恆指再升 成交續弱 友邦「五連揚」
市場觀望美國今晚公佈9月份非農就業數據,憧憬中美兩國元首下月亞太經合組織峯會會面,恆指今日持續向上。美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.03%或0.12%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至4.744釐,美匯指數跌至106.41,道指期貨最新跌11點或0.03%,納指期貨最新升0.09%。中秋及國慶長假期下,內地A股由上週五(9月29日)起直至10月6日(本週五)休市,將於10月9日復市。香港金管局11月初舉辦國際金融領袖投資峯會,料300名金融機構負責人出席。
恆指今早高開156點後升幅擴大,曾升389點見17,603點,全日升272點或1.6%,收17,485點;國指升86點或1.5%,收5,974點;恆生科技指數升58點或1.6%,收3,816點。大市全日成交總額479.88億元,連續第二日成交少於500億元,滬、深港通南下交易暫停,下週一(9日)恢復。
恆指本週累跌323點或1.8%、國指本週累跌174點或2.8%及恆生科指本週累跌104點或2.7%。美國指標十年期債息近日升破4.7釐創十六年新高,美匯指數亦曾升破107水平,市場避險情緒升溫,恆指本週三曾跌至逾十個月低位,於昨日及今日成交額均不足500億元。
【恆指續向上 友邦「五連升」】
金融股領航大市,友邦(01299.HK)全日股價漲2.4%收67.5元,連升五日(累漲升7.3%)。匯控(00005.HK)全日升1.8%,中國平安(02318.HK)走高1.7%,建行(00939.HK)漲2.1%。摩根大通近日發表報告指,友邦呈超賣狀態,相信是由於投資者對有關中國經濟增長的中期風險回報爭議、對香港離岸市場潛在的資本管制憂慮等。該行預計,友邦2023至2024年內含價值(EV)將分別出現高單位數及雙位數的增長。該行維持友邦目標價87元,評級爲「增持」。
科網股造好,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)升1.9%報82.9元,騰訊(00700.HK)升1.8%報305.2元,美團(03690.HK)股價升2.3%。大和發表報告表示,據國家文旅部統計,中秋及國慶黃金週首三天假期(9月29日至10月1日),國內旅遊總人數達3.95億人次,較去年同期升75.8%,國內旅遊收入3,422.4億人民幣,較去年同期升125.3%。該行認爲攜程(TCOM.US)是強勁的國內和出境旅遊需求的主要受益者,料出境旅遊運力的進一步放鬆是公司今年第四季度關鍵催化劑。該行亦看好美團,因料公司於今年下半年到店、旅遊和酒店收入將受益於國內酒店的強勁需求,對兩股均予「買入」投資評級。
【升股千二隻 內需股造好】
港股主板今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率爲29比10(上日20比18),上升股份1,243只(升幅近3%);恆指成份股今日73只股份上升,6只股份下跌,升跌比率爲91比8(上日爲56爲35);大市今日錄沽空78.21億元,佔可沽空股份成交額377.07億元的20.74%(上日21.833%)。
消費內需及旅遊股普遍上脹,國泰航空(00293.HK)全日上揚3%,中國飛鶴(06186.HK)及呷哺呷哺(00520.HK)升4.4%及5%。濠賭股偏好,金沙中國(01928.HK)漲近0.9%,銀娛(00027.HK)升1.1%。
花旗指,根據澳門旅遊局的數據,今年國慶黃金週首七天的訪澳人次爲86.01萬,意味着達到2019年時的約88%,當中,內地遊客佔澳門總遊客量的約77%,即已恢復至2019年水平的約84%。該行估計,10月首六天的每日平均賭收約爲7.65億澳門元,意味着與2019年國慶黃金週相比,中場和貴賓廳的賭收分別恢復至當時的約100%及約15%水平。在本月剩餘時間內,該行料每日平均賭收約爲5.75億澳門元。該行根據預測,預計10月賭收按月增長27%至190億澳門元。(wl/u)
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