受疫情影響 盛鬆成料內地次季GDP增長降至2.1%
據《上海證券報》引述中歐國際工商學院經濟學與金融學教授、中國人民銀行調查統計司原司長盛鬆成表示,內地疫情對經濟帶來的衝擊,此輪疫情多點散發且嚴重影響經濟核心城市,對經濟衝擊的外溢效應較爲明顯。疫情對經濟的影響將主要表現在第二季度,預期次季度經濟增長放緩至約2.1%,預期上半年經濟增長約3.5%。此輪疫情直接影響服務業,也衝擊製造業,供應鏈阻塞給經濟社會正常運行帶來挑戰,穩就業壓力增加,消費恢復也可能更爲緩慢。
盛鬆成認爲,避免疫情衝擊的影響長期化十分重要,要高度關注市場主體的生存問題,改善預期、提振內需,避免疫情對內地製造業造成不可逆的損傷。統籌疫情防控和經濟社會發展,需要在較短時間內有效控制住疫情,並嚴防疫情再次反彈,儘早實現復工復產,落實「六穩」「六保」,預計下半年內地經濟將明顯好於上半年。在此前提下,積極的財政政策要加快落實,貨幣政策須有效配合財政政策,保持政策的連續性和穩定性,以不發生系統性風險爲底線,全力支持經濟恢復和發展。
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