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隔夜美股全覆盤 | 俄烏第二輪談判議題涉及停火,鮑威爾講話安撫市場,三大股指高開高走

三大股指高開高走。截至收盤,道指漲 1.79%,納指漲 1.62%,標普漲 1.86%。WIT原油漲 7.73%至111.4美元,美國10年期國債收益率漲至1.878%,恐慌指數VIX收跌 6.09%。

主要影響因素:俄烏代表團開始第二輪談判,據悉,此次會談的議題包括停火。同時,美聯儲主席鮑威爾安撫市場,稱傾向3月加息25個基點,對今年將有“一系列加息”持開放態度,展示了儘管地緣局勢緊張仍要打壓高通脹並靈活應對的決心,同時並未流露3月一次加息50個基點的偏好。

大宗商品方面,歐洲天然氣收漲逾30%,歐洲大陸基準荷蘭天然氣期貨盤中創歷史新高,一度較週二漲60%。由於地緣政治形勢有很高的不可預見性,地緣局勢的進一步惡化和新制裁出台的風險可能進一步支持氣價走高。市場分析,歐盟對俄製裁可能擴大到禁運俄羅斯天然氣的貨輪入歐,同時,一些俄羅斯液化天然氣的貨輪已改道。

儘管油價高漲,沙特和俄羅斯等OPEC+聯合減產的產油國仍決定,保持當前的一個月增產40萬桶/日步伐不變。因擔憂俄烏局勢影響供應,國際原油價格大幅走高,布油繼續刷新七年多來高位,美油將近十年來首次收盤站上110美元。

基本金屬大多繼續走高,鋁鎳礦生產大國俄羅斯被制裁引發對供應的擔憂,倫鋁和倫鎳分別繼續刷新歷史新高和2011年來高位;歐洲電價上漲的壓力下市場預期冶煉鋅的工廠將被迫減產,倫鋅逼近去年10月所創的2007年來高位;不過,連日創新高的倫錫回落。另外,俄烏新一輪談判幫助遏制了避險需求,避險資產黃金回落,紐約期金跌離一年多來高位。

大型科技股多數收漲。蘋果漲 2.06%,宣佈暫停在俄銷售產品並關閉部分功能。微軟漲 1.78%,公司收購微妙通訊獲英國監管機構批准;微軟CEO納德拉的兒子因腦癱去世,年僅26歲。谷歌-C漲 0.43%,谷歌、微軟限制俄羅斯通過社交媒體發聲。亞馬遜漲 0.6%,將重新調整實體店策略,關閉包括書店、四星級商店和快閃店在內的68家線下門店。特斯拉收漲 1.8%,拜登稱控制物價是目前首要任務,並敦促降低電動汽車價格;而馬斯克表示,特斯拉在製造電動汽車方面為美國創造了超過5萬個工作崗位,投資總額是通用和福特加起來的兩倍多;另外,澳大利亞Core Lithium公司與特斯拉達成鋰供應協議。伯克希爾-B漲 2.15%,Meta漲 2.27%,公司擴大制裁俄羅斯政策,全球停止推薦俄羅斯官媒;另外,Meta稱蜂窩網絡還不夠強大,元宇宙目標尚難實現。

煉焦煤板塊漲幅居前,漲10.18%,百貨商店板塊漲10.08%,熱煤板塊漲8.75%。中概股漲跌不一,阿里巴巴跌 1.56%,阿里旗下口碑網註冊資本增至1000萬,增幅900%。京東跌 2.06%,據媒體:京東已完成對德邦快遞的收購,“京邦達”正式形成;另外,工信部副部長稱,全行業要紮實推進5G、千兆光網、數據中心、工業互聯網、車聯網等建設應用。拼多多跌 4.34%,公司申請註冊拼眾籌商標,或將進軍眾籌。蔚來跌 0.46%,公司年內將推三款新平台車型,同時推進補能體系建設;同時,花旗維持對蔚來的買入評級。理想跌 1.08%,小鵬漲 1.71%。

成交額異動:AMD成交138.03億美元,排名第四,收漲 3.91%。英偉達成交額排名第七,成交93.4億美元,收漲 3.18%。雪佛龍成交48.3億美元,排名第十二,收漲 2.95%,公司稱已將回購翻了一番;花旗將雪佛龍目標價從每股124美元上調至145美元。埃克森美孚成交35.84億美元,排名第十五,收漲 1.72%,公司宣佈將退出俄羅斯的油氣業務,業務估值超40億美元。賽富時成交34.73億美元,排名第十八,收漲 0.72%,Q4營收同比增長26%,FY23Q1及全年營收指引超市場預期。

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