郭思治: 大市已進一步下試250天線之支持
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(8日)再進一步大幅急挫,即技術上屬「八連跌」,恆指昨先低開79點至27,881點,其後曾略作後抽至27,921點,但由於買盤不繼,加上沽壓又再涌現,故整個大市卒再往下尋底,在沽壓一面倒主導下,恆指於午後曾一度急挫850點至27,110點,由於跌幅已不算少,故接近尾市時漸轉喘定,恆指最後報收27,153點,較上日急跌807點,全日總成交金額爲2,052億元,從走勢上看,大市自6月28日高位29,394點開始之回調,至昨天低位27,110點止計,在短短八個交易日內,已急挫達2,284點,至於7月份,大市在先高後低之形態主導下,恆指暫是由2日之高位28,859點跌至8日之低位27,110點,即在短短五個交易日內,恆指已大幅急回1,749點,由於大市跌勢確略偏促,故技術上已漸呈超賣。
移動線方面再進一步示弱,以恆指昨曾一度低見27,110點計,技術上已稍跌穿250天線(27,113點),雖其後能穩收於250天線之上,惟在市勢偏淡下,擔心終會出現跌破之訊號,但即使250天線有失,亦只代表大市之反覆較明顯而已,並不代表甚麼「熊市」再現,況且,大市在超賣下該有技術性反彈,但從走勢上看,大市暫時之首個上升阻力位該爲3月25日之低位27,505點及5月14日之低位27,715點所組成之小雙底。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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