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《欧洲经济》法国首季季调後GDP终值意外下修转为续降0.1% 经济呈技术性衰退
阿思达克 05-28 14:55
法国统计局数据显示,经工作日及季节调整後,法国今年第一季国内生产总值(GDP)终值意外下修按季转为续降0.1%(前值略下修转降1.5%),由於已连续两个月萎缩,经济呈技术性衰退,较疫情大流行前最後一季(2019年末季)低4.7%,市场原预期确认初值转增0.4%;按年也意外下修仅恢复增长1.2%(前值萎缩加剧至4.8%),结束连续四季萎缩,市场原预期确认初值转增1.5%。

期内,家庭消费支出终值按季下修0.2个百分点仅转升0.1%(前值转降5.6%);一般政府支出终值按季续降0.1%(前值转降0.7%)。固定资本形成总额终值按季升幅续收窄至0.2%(前值下修续升1.7%),但已连升三季。出口额终值按季上修1.3个百分点仅转降0.2%(前值续升4.9%),结束连升两季;进口额终值上修转为续升1.1%(前值升幅收窄至2.2%),连升三季。

法国统计局指,总体而言,不包括库存在内最终国内需求为首季GDP增长贡献+0.1点;库存变化为季内GDP增长贡献收窄至0.2点(前值贡献0.6点)。相反,外部平衡为季内GDP增长产生0.4负贡献(前值贡献+0.7点)。

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