港股收评:恒生科技指数跌超2% 纸业、黄金股暴涨
今日,港股主要指数高开低走,市场情绪低迷。恒生科技指数下破所有均线,大幅收跌2.24%报7954点,恒指表现较强,微幅收跌0.09%报28610点,国指收跌0.57%报10694点。大市成交额1535亿港元。

盘面上,大型科技股普跌,快手跌5.5%,腾讯跌近2%,美团跌1%;万国数据大跌8%为最差恒生科技成份股;苹果概念股、光伏股、汽车股、家电等热门板块全线下跌,舜宇跌超8%领跌手机产业链股;纸企发布多张5月涨价函,纸业股强势拉升领涨,煤炭等有色板块延续强势行情,银行股、石油股走强撑市。


具体来看:
纸业股暴涨,玖龙纸业涨超10%,理文造纸涨超7%,晨鸣纸业、阳光纸业涨超5%。随着五一假期的结束,玖龙纸业优惠政策取消,原纸、纸板市场发生异动。国内主要文化纸企业和贸易商发布多张5月涨价函,其中文化纸普遍涨价200元/吨,特种纸涨价2000元/吨,白卡纸涨价1000元/吨(分两次进行),部分纸厂还同时发出停机函。国家统计局数据显示,一季度造纸和纸制品业实现营业收入3401.0亿元,同比增长37.3%;实现利润总额247.6亿元,同比增长112.7%。

黄金及贵金属板块走强,中国黄金国际涨1.66%,山东黄金涨0.24%,紫金矿业涨0.16%。COMEX 6月黄金期货隔夜收涨1.8%,站上1800美元。有分析师表示,尽管经济增长前景乐观,美联储的政策制定者看起来仍然不情愿改变货币宽松政策。投资者担心通胀加剧,可能进一步提振金价走强。

银行股普遍收涨,招商银行涨2.95%领涨,重庆银行、交行、建设银行、恒生银行、工行等涨超1%。消息面上,广东六家“一行两局”金融监管机构发布《粤港澳大湾区“跨境理财通”业务试点实施细则(征求意见稿)》。目前,“跨境理财通”业务试点总额度暂定为1500亿元人民币,业务试点对单个投资者实行额度管理,投资额度为100万元。港澳投资者可以购买内地银行非保本净值化理财产品,但现金管理类理财产品除外。中金认为,跨境理财通利于国内资金分享海外金融产品收益,同时扩大国内银行理财和基金产品投资资金来源。大湾区财富管理能力强的银行(招行、平安等)更加受益。

苹果概念股集体走弱,丘钛科技、舜宇光学跌超8%,比亚迪电子跌超4%,通达集团、高伟电子、瑞声科技跌超2%。国外数据调研机构Canaly日前公布的数据显示,一季度欧洲智能手机市场份额,苹果下滑至第三(市场份额为19%),被小米(市场份额为23%)超越。

汽车股普跌,比亚迪收跌5.72%,长城汽车跌5.42%,雅迪控股跌3.59%,吉利跌2.73%,广汽跌1.92%。有消息称,因芯片短缺,目前全球汽车市场累计减产115.7万辆,预计2021年全球汽车始终将因此减产超过200万辆。中国汽车工业协会表示,今年前2个月,芯片供应短缺使国内汽车产量下降了5%至8%,预计这一状况要到今年第3季度才会有所缓解。

港股通方面,南向资金净买出5.35亿港元,其中,港股通(沪)净卖出2.52亿港元,港股通(沪)净卖出2.83亿港元。

港股通个股方面,山东墨龙涨超20%,山东黄金涨超10%,重庆钢铁涨超7%,复兴医药、中集集团等涨超3%;福莱特玻璃跌超9%,海尔智家、华润万象生活、长城汽车等跌超5%。


兴业证券认为,不论是A股还是港股,3月中旬开始构筑的股市黄金坑(2021年上半年重要的底部区域)4月底基本构建完成,最迟5月中旬有望出现新的上行行情,不是类似年初的吹泡沫拉高估值式的行情,而是聚焦盈利增长以及估值性价比的行情,更需要体现投资研究的专业能力。
中金公司看好港股市场整体前景,认为只要基本长期趋势不变,H股的表现将好于A股。鉴于新的催化剂出现之前整体市场预计将保持盘整态势,建议在成长和价值风格间相对均衡配置,不过,考虑到政策维持相对宽松和债券收益率下行总体上利好成长股,估值回调充分的质优成长股值得关注。
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