《高盛认股证牛熊证》 平保业绩前受压 中人寿造好 留意贴价平安购20005,高杠杆中寿购13213
正股表现:将於今早公布业绩的平保(2318),昨日失守90元水平,收市跌约1.9%。今早则早段高见87.55元後倒跌,现报86.75元,跌约0.3%。有券商料平保今年首季归属於母公司股东的营运利润达348亿元人民币,按年跌6%。寿险新业务价值达165亿元人民币,按年升5%。该行给予平保「增持」评级,目标价130元。
昨日跌约1%及发盈喜的中人寿(2628),今早则见反弹,最高见16.1元,突破过去十日高位。现报15.84元,升约1.7%。中人寿表示,经初步测算,料截至今年三月底止的第一季,纯利介乎94亿至128.18亿元人民币,按年升55%至75%。
资金流向:观察个股轮证资金流向,可见近期资金持续在平保公布业绩前吸纳认购证,例如过去5个交易日皆录得资金流入,合共约1,180万元。而认沽证於昨日亦获资金转向流入。牛熊证方面,则见昨日资金沽出88元以上收回价的贴牛,并有部分转仓至86至88元收回区域,及82元以下收回价的产品。而熊证则於昨日录得资金转向流入,及集中在96元以下收回价的产品。
中人寿方面,亦见近期资持续在中人寿公布业绩前吸纳好仓,过去5个交易日皆录得资金流入,合共约660万元。当中认购证及牛证分别占约520万及140万元,及见昨日流入牛证的资金集中在14.5元以上收回价的产品。
产品选择:投资者如看好平保,认购证方面的贴价选择可留意价外幅度不足2%,年期约3个月的高杠杆平安购20005。低面值选择可留意属长年期的平安购18197。牛证方面可留意平安牛62775,与现价有约4.3元收回距离。
平安购20005,行使价88.05元,2021年07月26日到期,实际杠杆11.8倍,贴价、高杠杆
平安购18197,行使价91.05元,2021年12月22日到期,实际杠杆8.9倍,低面值、长年期
平安牛62775,收回价82.48元,行使价81.48元,换股比率100,杠杆比率15.2倍,相近收回价牛证中杠杆最高
投资者如看淡平保,认沽证方面可留意属长年期的低街货平安沽23760。熊证方面可留意属市场上首三高杠杆之一的新上市平安熊50432,与现价有约8.3元收回距离。
平安沽23760,行使价93.83元,2021年12月28日到期,实际杠杆5.1倍,长年期、低街货
平安熊50432,收回价95元,行使价95.6元,换股比率100,杠杆比率9.4倍,新上市、市场上首三高杠杆之一熊证
投资者如看好中人寿,认购证方面的高杠杆选择可留意年期约4个月的低街货中寿购13213。低面值选择可留意属长年期的中寿购22414。牛证方面可留意属贴牛的中寿牛54056。
中寿购13213,行使价18.02元,2021年08月24日到期,实际杠杆10.5倍,高杠杆、低街货
中寿购22414,行使价17.82元,2021年12月23日到期,实际杠杆7.9倍,低面值、长年期
中寿牛54056,收回价15.28元,行使价14.68元,换股比率50,杠杆比率12.8倍,高杠杆贴牛
投资者如看淡中人寿,可留意属远熊的中寿熊54162,与现价有约3.2元收回距离。
中寿熊54162,收回价19元,行使价19.4元,换股比率50,杠杆比率4.0倍,相近收回价远熊中杠杆最高
注: 以上数据资料来自高盛认股证牛熊证网站https://www.gswarrants.com.hk/~
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