郭思治: 大市於高台似渐呈反覆 宜留意10天线之支持
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天(13日)大市稍见反覆,恒指早市先轻微高开33点至28,309点,其後再进一步升至28414点方渐受规限,即其时大市已再创本月之新高,但由於买盘态度略带保守,加上伺高回吐的获利货亦渗着涌现,故大市卒渐转反覆,恒指更一度低见28,136点,末段稍见少许後抽,恒指最後报收28,235点,较上日轻回41点,全日总成交金额则略增至2,021亿元,经过昨天早市之上升,本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,月内之波幅已扩阔至1,335点,恒指暂是由4日之低位27,079点升至13日之高位28,414点。
从技术上看,自去年12月22日低位25,998点开始之小升浪,至本月13日高位28,414点止计,累积之升幅已达2,416点,论幅度该不算少,故在续抱上望之余,亦需慎防市势於高台会渐呈反覆,谈到此点,首先要留意的是10天线(27,704点)之支持,因一旦大市在反覆中触及10天线,即表示整个续寻顶之趋势会稍转不明,另外,个别热门的股份已累积不少升幅,走势早已陷急升後之回吐中,故任何短炒之行动,似乎不宜过急过勇,还有,大市之成交分金额似稍放缓之感,一旦动力不配,,大市之升势当会渐受规限。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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