You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
非银金融行业:改革措施持续落地,非银配置价值提升,维持“买入”评级
格隆汇 08-11 16:03

机构:广发证券

评级:买入

核心观点:

证券:资本市场改革持续落地。本周市场回升,证监会推进基础设施REITs试点,公司债注册制改革,深圳发布粤港澳大湾区深圳执行方案进一步落实市场开放。1.本周证券II指数(中信)上涨1.56%。2.本周①证监会推进基础设施REITs试点:证监会发布《公开募集基础设施证券投资基金指引(试行)》,明确产品定义、主体责任,明确发售方式以及基金投资运作模式,并对监管职责予以详细规定;②证监会修订《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》:此次明确公开发行公司债券的注册条件、注册程序及相关监管要求,建立健全公开发行公司债券注册制相关制度,加强事中事后监管;③深圳出台执行方案支持粤港澳大湾区发展,预计将进一步深化金融业对外开放、促进粤港澳大湾区跨境贸易和投融资便利化。资本市场改革新政不断落地,证券板块的α属性大大增加,建议关注券商板块投资机会以及龙头企业:中信证券(600030.SH)/(06030.HK)、中金公司(03908.HK)、华泰证券(601688.SH)/HTSC(06886.HK)、国泰君安(601211.SH)/(02611.HK)、海通证券(600837.SH)/(06837.HK)、东方财富(300059.SZ)、招商证券(600999.SH)/(06099.HK)等。

保险:资产端利率持续回升,负债端新一轮景气度上升期有望开启。

资产端方面,截至8月9日10年期国债收益率较上周末再回升3个BP至2.99%,向上冲击3%大关。7月30日政治局会议上强调货币政策合理增长,同时经济数据持续回暖为长端利率提供支撑。负债端方面,上市保险公司纷纷发力增员,调整代理人基本法加大队伍投入,利好销售的同时也为明年开门红储备人力。同时随着经济的修复,居民消费能力提升利好保险销售。参考我们此前发布的报告《复盘寿险承保周期》,驱动承保周期变化的三要素(供给、需求、监管)均朝着积极的方向变化,新一轮景气度上升期有望开启。随着行业资产和负债端景气度双双回暖,考虑到当前2020年PEV估值仍蕴含悲观假设,我们认为保险股后续存在超额收益的可能性。个股建议关注:中国人寿(601628.SH)/(02628.HK)、中国平安(601318.SH)/(02318.HK)、新华保险(601336.SH)/(01336.HK)、中国太保(601601.SH)/(02601.HK)。

港股金融:建议关注(1)中金公司:投行资本化有望显著增厚中报业绩;关注回A前对港股股价带动。(2)中银航空租赁:强资本实力与良好机队管理抵抗短期风险,中长期航空业恢复带动估值修复。

风险提示:经济增速放缓、利率波动影响、公司经营业绩不达预期等。

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account