You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
华侨永亨料香港全年经济收缩6-7% 不排除政府再推纾困措施
阿思达克 08-04 16:18
华侨永亨银行经济师李若凡指,中国经济形势呈「先来先走」的情况,因为最先受疫情影响,故亦最先摆脱疫情影响,次季经济情况已有显着改善,同时亦受惠全球经济及内需复苏,经济已走出谷底,料今年经济增长将接近3%的水平,但仍要视乎疫情变化。

而在香港方面,如内地及其他亚洲地区持续有改善,商品出口跌幅有机会逐步收窄,属GDP的亮点之一,惟其他环节仍较弱,因为第三轮疫情爆发令本地需求继续受压,相信私人开支将继续维持弱势,而在旅游限制下业界难有改善,企业投资情绪亦难复苏,下半年不排除经济跌幅会收窄,因为去年基数较低,收窄速度不会如之前想像般快,全年经济将视乎疫情进展,料收缩6-7%,但长远而言不认为前景特别悲观。

她指出今次第三轮疫情爆发,特别受冲击的行业有机会持续受压,下半年中小企或现倒闭危机,不排除政府会有更多纾困措施,减轻失业率恶化的情况。

另外,她亦期待中期或有更多大型IPO出现,包括蚂蚁及京东健康等,认为港汇或会再触及7.75的水平,而银行体系结余有机会突破2,000亿元以上水平。(el/u) ~

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account