德经济顾问委员会:若疫情持续 全年经济最差或收缩5.4%
德国经济顾问委员会预计,新型冠状病毒疫情使德国今年上半年经济无可避免地陷入衰退,全年衰退最多5.4%。
委员会目前基线预测为经济情况将於夏季回复正常,全年经齐将收缩2.8%,明年则回复增长3.7%。但若疫情扩散导致广泛停产或更长时间维持公共卫生措施,最坏情况经济将倒退5.4%,明年则因低基数效应下反弹4.9%。
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