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郭思治: 大市稍见反覆 惟表现稳定
阿思达克 10-16 10:20

帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,大市经过连升三天後,昨(15日)终见正常回吐及消化,惟相对累积升幅达1,115点计(10日之低位25,521点升至14日之高位26,636点),技术上只属急升後之高台消化而已,恒指昨先高开88点至26,609点,其後在零碎回吐沽压主导下缓步回软,至午後二时止计,恒指已轻回85点至26,436点,惟市势虽呈反覆带软,但技术上只属急升後之正常回吐而已,前文已述,只要恒指能续稳守於20天线(26,235点),50天线(26,156点)及10天线(26,068点)之上,少许反覆所带来的问题该不大,只要整个先低後高之市势不变,一旦买盘再现,大市该可伺机进一步上试100天线(27,057点),甚至挑战250天线(27,305点)。

大市虽只属技术反弹市,惟由於近期一众新股上市後均有颇明显之升幅,在炒股不炒市之心态主导下,投资者之入市意欲似又再升温,只是个别新股在上市後之升势实在过促,故任何投机性之追入均需面对回吐风险,即是说,最後是先作观望,待正常回吐出现後才考虑应否作部署,对个别新股之升幅如达倍数以上,笔者认为不宜高追,即使见有回吐,亦不宜贸然大手吸纳。

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