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郭思治: 大市稍见喘定 惟布局仍偏弱
阿思达克 09-25 09:36

帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,昨天(25日)大市先升後放缓,恒指先高开78点至26,300点,惟在买盘态度保守下,市势一直在此水平左近拉锯,至下午收市止计,恒指全日均在26,207点至26,391点之间上落,最後报收26,281点,较上日升58点,单从走势上看,大市经过连跌六日後,昨天只属技术性後抽而已,论表现其实仍偏弱,而形态亦暂属欲试底之格局,而所指的底,暂仍为9月3日之低位25,498点,惟由於目前大市距25,498点仍颇远,故於本月底前,恒指试底之机会暂似不大,但有一点需留意,由於恒指目前已跌穿各组常用之平均移动线,故形势上颇不利10月之发展,至低限度是颇不利10月上旬之发展。

移动线方面之排列仍颇反覆,由下顺序而上分别为20天线(26,448点),50天线(26,717点),10天线(26,768点),250天线(27,368点)及100天线(27,374点),单从移动线之布局看,典型属反覆续回调之格局,形态确颇不利中短期後市之发展,即是说,大市经过9月之技术反弹後,到10月可能又会再回复反覆带软之局面,形势至此,投资者最好当是尽量保留实力,静待另一潮低吸良机,至於投机性之短炒,当需做妥风险管理。

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