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“末日博士”魯賓尼:若特朗普當選 美國經濟或陷入滯脹
格隆匯 10-10 09:00
格隆匯10月10日|有“末日博士”之稱的經濟學家魯賓尼(Nouriel Roubini)認爲,倘若美國共和黨總統候選人、前總統特朗普當選,美國經濟可能面對滯脹衝擊。魯賓尼週三出席研討會時稱,倘若特朗普11月入主白宮,落實包括大幅增加關稅、容許美元貶值、限制非法移民等政綱,則美國經濟出現低增長及高通脹,即陷入滯脹的風險較民主黨總統候選人、副總統哈里斯當選爲高。魯賓尼又認爲,中東局勢可能成爲美國經濟的重大變數,因爲油價或急升,通脹將會重燃。他建議投資者增持黃金、短期債務工具,與通脹掛鉤國庫券等避險產品。值得注意的是,魯賓尼的看法並不是準確無誤,他在2022年提出美國將陷入滯脹,但情況一直未見發生。
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