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郭思治:大市在動力不配下 升勢略受規限
阿思達克 06-06 09:01
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(5日)再進一步上升,而恆指更一度升近5月21日之高位23,917點,恆指昨早市先高開174點至23,828點,其後再進一步上升485點至23,911點方漸受規限,由於高臺買盤保守,加上伺高回吐之沽壓亦略增,故大市卒開始反覆回落至23,732點方漸見喘定並進入整固局面,惟由於未有追沽壓力,故整個大市一直拉鋸於上述波幅之內,從技術上看,大市即使略作高臺反覆,但只要恆指能一直穩守於10天線(約在23,462點左近)之上,問題該不大,反之,成交金能否再見暢旺纔是關鍵所在,恆指最後報收23,906點,較上日升252點,全日總成交金額爲2,220億元。 再看移動線方面之表現,目前各組平均移動線之排列由上而下爲10天線(約在23,462點左近),20天線(約在23,448點左近),50天線(約在22,684點左近),100天線(約在22,265點左近)及250天線(約在20,224點左近),單從排列上看,該屬標準之升市模式,即是說,只要恆指能持續穩企於10天線之上,即表示大市正處於續試頂或尋頂之趨勢中,當然,大市之成交金額如未能明顯增加,則即使大市能續作推升,但市內仍會欠缺一股欲上升之熾烈感,對投資者而言,恆指既能重越10天線並穩守其上,稍作適量跟進該無問題,惟如屬投機性短炒,則最好做足風險管理,目前較令市場不安的是中美之貿易事態,尤其是特朗普頗善變,其言論往往令市場出現突然其來之波動,此亦是大市之隱憂。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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