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郭思治:本月大市暫初呈先高後低之形態
阿思達克 04-03 09:15
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(2日)早市先反覆後回穩,恆指昨早市先輕微低開39點至23,167點,其後曾稍再跌至22,980點方漸見喘定,由於未有追沽壓力,加上維穩買盤亦略作扶持,故大市卒在緩步中回升至23,393點方漸受規限並漸進入拉鋸之中,從走勢上看,大市經過昨日早市之反覆,本月大市之形態已初呈先高而後低,恆指暫是由1日之高位23,456點跌至2日之低位22,980點,即月內之波幅暫爲476點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於兩個交易日之內,加上476點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現,恆指最後報收23,202點,較上日跌4點,全日總成交金額爲2,165億元。 連同昨天計在內,恆指已連續6天反覆及低收於10天線(約在23,518點左近)及20天線(約在23,801點左近)之下,單從小圖上看,大市目前較重要之支持已退守至50天線(約在22,594點左近),而自3月19日高位24,874點開始之調整,技術上確有機會延續至4月份之上旬,由於大市之走勢持續處反覆不明之中,故投資者之心態多較保守,而市內亦瀰漫着頗濃厚之觀望氣氛,因而交投續趨淡靜。 值得留意的是,大市已連續4個月呈先低後高之形態,而照目前大市之走勢看,如恆指仍無法成功重越10天及20天線,擔心本月大市會先往下尋低位,技術上稍偏淡。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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