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郭思治:大市昨先急升後倒跌 屬單日轉向
阿思達克 02-14 08:52
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(13日)再進一步創月內之新高,恆指昨早市先高開100點至21,958點,其後再進一步急升666點至22,523點方漸受規限,由於高臺買意漸趨保守,加上伺高回吐之沽壓亦逐漸涌現,故大市不但開始漸呈反覆,恆指其後更一度大幅急回至21,735點方見喘定,而經過一輪快速急回後,市內之氣氛已明顯轉趨保守,或者,大市自3日低位19,764點開始之上升,至昨日高位22,523點止計,由於在9個交易日內,累積之升幅已達2,759點,論幅度確已不算小,故出現獲利回吐乃正常現象,恆指最後報收21,814點,較上日跌43點,全日總成交金額爲3,794億元。 移動線方面仍保持穩健,目前各組常用之平均移動線由上而下爲10天線(約在21,031點左近),20天線(約在20,385點左近),100天線(約在20,092點左近),50天線(約在20,004點左近)及250天線(約在18,476點左近),單從排列上看,只要待50天線重越100天線後,即各組平均移動線之排列將回復標準之升市模式,其時只要大市之成交金額能保持暢旺,在動力配合之下,技術上該有利於後市再進一步推升,再從走勢上看,由於恆指已成功升越去年12月10日之高位21,070點及11月8日之高位21,355點,故從小圖上看,大市中期之上望目標該已上移至去年10月7日之高位23,241點,但需指出,此潮大市之上升是由DeepSeek面世後,刺激資金大手追捧一衆AI概念股所導致,故一旦熱潮放緩,相關股份或會出現明顯反覆或回吐,故任何再冒高追入之投機性短炒行動,最好是做妥一切風險管理,畢竟投機性之急升,定必招致明顯回吐。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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