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郭思治:在動力不足之下 大市之反彈漸受規限
阿思達克 04-16 08:52
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過五連升後,昨日(15日)表現略見反覆,恆指昨早市先高開186點至21,603點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓又續見涌現,故大市卒漸趨反覆,而恆指亦略爲回落至21,297點方漸見喘定,由於買賣兩閒,故其後大市一直拉鋸於上述波幅之內,交投亦因而再明顯萎縮,從技術上看,恆指繼成功重越100天線(約在21,231點左近)之後,昨日已再輕越10天線(約在21,396點左近),表示大市之跌勢不但已漸見喘定,且恆指亦伺機略爲回補7日所遺留下之大型下降裂口,但大市只是大幅急跌後之技術性反彈而已,照目前之動力看,大市暫該難以發展一個新中期升浪,恆指最後報收21,466點,較上日升48點,全日總成交金額爲1,850億元。 有一點需留意,4月7日大市曾先大幅低開2,119點,期後才略爲後抽至21,047點,但最後仍大跌3,021點至19,828點,想指出的是,當日恆指遺留下一個大型下降裂口,介乎22,638點至21,047點,闊1,591點,而經過周來之一輪明顯反彈後,恆指已於15日回升至21,603點,但仍有一段介乎22,638點至21,603點之下降裂口尚未被回補,而照目前大市之交投看,動力方面已明顯放緩,即大市或可再稍作反彈,大市已累積之升幅達2,343點(9日之低位19,260點升至15日之高位21,603點),技術上或需先稍作消化。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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