郭思治:大市再進一步下試20天線之支持
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市承接上週五(13日)之跌勢,昨日(16日)再進一步急回,恆措昨早市先輕微低開24點至19,947點,其後曾略爲回升至20,049點,但由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓不斷滲着涌現,故整個大市卒開始掉頭回落,而恆措亦一度急跌至19,726點方漸見喘定,即是說,恆措繼跌穿10天線(約在19,994點左近)後,曾一度跌近20天線(約在19,720點左近),惟幸維穩買盤再現,故大市跌勢才得以喘定,單從走勢上看,大市之弱態正不斷加劇,恆措最後報收19,795點,較上日跌175點,全日總成交金額爲1,340億元。
中央政府在經濟會議後表示明年將會採取適度寬鬆之貨幣政策,同時亦會再適時降準及減息,保持流動性充裕貨幣供應量增長,從而引導更多資金投向科技創新,民生消費等領域,目的是激發全社會內生動和創新活力,論政策,該有利整個中期後市之發展,惟市場對此卻有點失望,因措施屬中期性,並未爲短期帶來即時刺激,故A股及港股之表現均出現反覆回落之弱勢,另外,市場亦正等待美國聯儲局在議息後會否再減息0.25釐,但由於市場對此己有預期,故相信對港股帶來之刺激亦有限,當然,12月傳統而言均會有基金之粉飾廚窗活動,但相關活動只屬維穩部署,且亦只會在個別股份身上,即是說,對整體大市而言,或不會帶來太大刺激,而大市亦會持續在交投偏疏下反覆偏軟試低。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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