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郭思治:本月大市已初呈先高後低之形態
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(5日)出現較明顯之跌勢,而恆指更一度相繼跌穿10天線(約在16,579點左近),20天線(約在16,286點左近)及50天線(約在16,170點左近),恆指昨早市先低開252點至16,343點,其後曾略為後抽至16,450點,但由於買盤卻步,加上零碎沽壓又不斷湧現,故整個大市卒反覆急回至16,095點方漸見喘定並作技術性後抽,只是在氣氛薄弱之下,市勢未能作較明顯回升,恆指最後報收16,162點,較上日跌433點,全日總成交金額為1,121億元。 大市已身處3月份之上旬,經過數日之反覆後,技術上已初呈先高後低之形態,直到執筆一刻止計,本月恆指暫是由1日之高位16,651點跌至5日之低位16,095點,即月內之波幅暫為556點,由於一個月之高低位是不會同時出現於三個交易日之內,加上556點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現,從而擴闊月內波幅以滿足所需,同時亦能拉闊月內高低位之距離以符合慣性之需求。 恆指成份股中,較強勢的有中移動(00941.HK),匯控(00005.HK)及中海油(00883.HK),至於中行(03988.HK),工行(01398.HK)及建行(00939.HK)等則只屬平穩,另外新經濟股方面,僅有美團-W(03690.HK)能作較明顯之反彈,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里-SW(09988.HK)等則仍持續反覆偏軟,拉鋸於窄幅之內,上述恆指成份股如持續個別發展,大市即使能再稍回升,惟升幅亦不會太明顯。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,本人及相關人士沒持有上述股份)~
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