下半年美股IPO市場有望好轉
復興資本(Renaissance Capital)的一份新報告顯示,預計2021年未來4個月將有大約90至110宗IPO, 2021年全年預計將有大約375宗IPO,融資總額達1250億美元。
如果預期偏差不大,2021年將成爲有史以來融資總額最高的一年,也是自2000年互聯網泡沫以來IPO數量最多的一年。
今年秋季的IPO不僅數量強勁,而且還有許多知名消費者品牌值得關注,包括Warby Parker(處方藥眼鏡零售商)、Fresh Market(新鮮食品雜貨商)、Authentic Brands(品牌授權商)和Allbirds(環保鞋品牌)。
除了上述消費品公司,還有大量科技公司和加密貨幣公司也希望在今年上市。
除了通過首次公開募股(IPO)上市,部分企業還將通過與特殊目的收購公司(SPAC)合併上市。
2021年,415家SPAC公司合計籌集了1090億美元的資金,打破了此前的SPAC募資記錄。目前,還有310家SPAC公司已經完成備案,正等待着合適的收購公司。這些公司募集資金合計超過700億美元。
復興資本的IPO數據分析師Lily McGonagle表示:“與2021年初相比,由於SPAC回報率普遍下降,以及美國證券交易委員會(SEC)加大監管審查,準備上市的SPAC將更難籌集IPO資金。”
IPO市場下半年表現將好轉
雖然整個夏季美股大盤都在上漲,但美股IPO投資者未能從中獲利,許多高水平的科技公司IPO表現不佳,這些公司表現不佳的原因是因爲初始定價過高。
其結果是今年大部分時間,新上市公司的盤後表現(首個日交易後的表現)都是下跌的。平均而言,在IPO首日交易後投資的投資者會賠錢。
截至8月底,Renaissance Capital IPO ETF今年表現平平,而標準普爾500指數則上漲了20%。該ETF由約60家近期IPO的公司組成,追蹤的是這些公司上市後的表現。
不過,這隻IPO ETF最近幾周出現反彈。經過6個月的盤整後,這隻IPO ETF突破了今年2月以來的最高水平。
原因之一是7月和8月上市的IPO定價較低,這導致其股價在上市首日後的市場表現更好。
復興資本的Kathleen Smith表示,“IPO ETF的出色表現表明,今年秋季上市的公司將在IPO市場上表現良好。”
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