高盛:上調標普500年度目標位至4700點
高盛策略師上調了其對標普500指數的預期,因爲強勁的盈利增長和低利率助長了人們對股市在創紀錄高位的情況下仍能繼續上漲的樂觀情緒。
根據該行的一份報告顯示,David J. Kostin及其同事將標普500指數在2021年底的目標點位提高至4700點,大約在一個月前,該指數突破了其此前預期的4300點。這意味着,在今年剩餘時間內,該指數較當前水平還有7%的上漲空間。

強勁的財報季推動美國股市升至歷史高位,超出了市場對delta變種、縮減貨幣刺激措施可能性等因素的擔憂。因此,高盛策略師還將今年的每股收益預期從193美元上調至207美元,這意味着年增長率高達45%。
高盛策略師表示:“企業盈利優於預期以及利率低於預期,推動了上調目標點位。相對於市場共識,我們預計,隨着企業成功管控成本,以及高利潤科技公司在指數中佔據更大份額,營收增長將更爲強勁,稅前利潤率也將進一步擴大。”
另外,高盛指出,由於股票回購激增和現金持有量增加,企業和家庭將成爲美國股票的最大買家。投資者應該通過配置長期增長型股票和短期戰術性押注受益疫情的行業來平衡他們的投資組合。
最後,該行策略師還將2022年底標普500指數的目標點位從4600點上調至4900點。這標誌着該指數上漲空間有限,年回報率約爲4.3%。他們表示,預計明年盈利增長將放緩,每股收益年增長率爲2%。
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