郭思治: 在续上望之余 需慎防高台之反覆
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,技术上仍处续寻顶之趋势中,而直到目前一刻止计,本月恒指暂是由4日之低位27,079点升至15日之高位28,667点,即月内之波幅再扩阔至1,588点,论幅度该已不算小,惟目前主要恒指成份股正逐只推上,故即使个别热炒之股份稍见回吐,惟单以指数计,技术上仍可续往上寻月内新高,从技术上看,以上周五(15日)之成交金额有达2,539亿元计,表示资金之入市态度仍然积极,在动力配合下,短期後市该仍有机会作进一步之寻顶,而暂时之上望目标该为去年1月20日之高位29,174点,此亦为去年全年之高位。
需留意,此潮升浪是始自去年12月22日之低位25,998点,至本月15日高位28,667点止计,升幅已达2,669点,论幅度该已不算小,故需慎防大市於高台或会略见反覆及回吐,谈到此点,当需睇紧10天线(27,973点)之支持,因10天线一旦有失,可能表示大市该渐陷入急升後之正常回调中,况且近周股份之去势确相当难测,加上美国之禁制令又随时推出,再再增加大市及个别股份之不明因素。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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