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郭思治: 9月初旬之市势仍偏弱 惟形态未现
阿思达克 09-03 10:34

帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,昨天(2日)大市先低开97点至25,627点,其後一直在反覆整固中拉锯,上落於25,502点之间,技术上暂无太明显之方向感,最後报收25,626点,较上日跌98点,全日总成交为678亿元,由於大市只是刚踏进9月份,故形态上仍未知是先高或是先低,但有一点可知的是,一日恒指仍反覆於20天线(25,835点)及10天线(25,874点)之下,整个大市仍处欲试底之中,而所指的底,暂该为8月15日之低位24,899点及今年1月3日之低位24,896点,此亦为今年之低位,亦即是说,一旦恒指跌穿24,896点,即表示今年大市之形态将扭转成先高而後低,其时较具防守性之支持据点将退守至去年10月30日之低位24,540点。

腾讯(00700.HK)昨天表现硬净,颇有单天保至尊之势头,以腾讯在恒指内之成份比重占达10.3%计,股价之回勇当可为大市带来回稳之效应,只是其他蓝筹仍然反覆带软,故大市之表现仍然偏弱,从走势上看,9月上旬大市之表现相当关键,因只要零碎沽压续主导大局,本月大市可能又会再呈先高後低之弱态。

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